பயோ இன்ஜினியரிங் & பயோமெடிக்கல் சயின்ஸ் ஜர்னல்

Adopting the life table techniques this paper proposed and presents a statistical method for estimating probabilities and odds that a randomly selected subject or patient in a population is afflicted by spasm of a recurring or relapsing event or disease over a specified time period. Estimates of conditional probabilities that a randomly selected subject would experience and not experienced the relapsing event or illness at some time period given that the same patients has experienced and not experienced an attack by the relapsing event or illness at a previous time period are provided. Also provided are estimates of the number of patients expected to suffer or not to suffer the next attack of the relapsing illness within a specified time period no matter how spasmodic the attacks are. Similarly, provided are estimates of the number of subjects or patients expected to experience and not experience the relapsing event at a subsequent time period given that these same patients had early experienced and not experienced the same relapsing event or disease at a previous time period no matter short these time period. The proposed method is illustrated with some hypothetical data under the assumption that the relapsing event or disease has a known and given instantaneous attack rate in the population.